Antalya Real Estate Market Q1 2026: Numbers & Trends

Antalya's real estate market closed 2025 volatile but trending up. In Q1 2026, the picture is highly district-specific: some areas saw 20%+ annual listing-price growth, others widened their negotiation margin. This brief covers the current state with indicative listing-based ranges (not closed-sale verified).

30-second summary

• Average listing m² (Antalya overall): ₺50,000 - ₺75,000 (Q1 2026 indicative)
• Annual change (12-month, listings): ~18-25% (slightly above CPI)
• Most liquid district: Muratpaşa (Lara prime)
• Fastest growing: Konyaaltı (Hurma sub-zone)
• Lowest entry budget: Kepez (Yenidoğan, Düden)

All numbers come from current property listing averages. Closed-sale (deal) data may run 5–15% lower than asking.

District table (Q1 2026 indicative)

District	Avg ₺/m²	12-m change	Typical property
Muratpaşa (Lara prime)	75,000 - 100,000	+20-25%	2+1, 3+1 apartment
Konyaaltı	60,000 - 90,000	+18-22%	2+1, 3+1 apartment
Kepez	35,000 - 55,000	+15-20%	2+1, first-home
Döşemealtı	45,000 - 70,000	+15-18%	Detached, villa
Aksu (Kundu)	40,000 - 65,000	+12-18%	Gated site, tourist

These are indicative estimates. For a specific neighbourhood or project, value comes from appraisal + closed sales over the past six months.

What drove 2025 → 2026?

1) Internal migration + retiree relocation

Antalya is among Turkey's top net-migration provinces over the past five years. Internal migration plus retiree relocation has continuously pushed up housing demand. Konyaaltı and Muratpaşa especially capture the "Istanbul-to-Antalya retirement" segment.

2) Foreign acquisition — not at past speeds

Foreign sales slowed in 2024–2025 (tighter payment rules, refreshed thresholds). This slowed price growth in foreigner-heavy zones like Lara and Kundu. If foreign demand recovers in 2026, those zones can re-accelerate.

3) Construction cost & rate dynamics

Housing prices in Antalya rose roughly 1–3 points above CPI. So real (inflation-adjusted) housing gains were modest. Rate trajectory in 2026 is critical — falling rates lift purchasing power and prices spike.

Three scenarios — late 2026

These are planning frames, not predictions.

A) Sideways (most likely)

• 12–18% annual growth (near CPI, real ~zero)
• Rates stay flat
• Foreign demand recovers modestly
• For investors: be selective; neighbourhood matters; no generic uplift

B) Acceleration

• 25%+ growth
• Rates fall + foreign demand returns
• For investors: liquid districts (Muratpaşa, Konyaaltı) preserve capital fastest

C) Correction

• 5–10% nominal decline, 15%+ real loss
• Recession + foreign exodus
• For investors: entry opportunity; year-end negotiation favours buyer

Three practical tips

1. Pick a neighbourhood, not a district. Konyaaltı's average looks "good" but Liman vs Sarısu can differ by 30–40%. Compare neighbourhoods.
2. Ask the negotiation margin. 5–15% below asking is normal at close. For investment, target at least 8% margin.
3. No deposit without appraisal & DASK. Especially for 20+ year-old buildings — structural report is non-negotiable.

Which neighbourhoods we track?

Konyaaltı investment guide — Liman, Hurma, Sarısu compared.

For broader profiles, see our neighbourhood guides — six districts with investment angle, buyer profile and highlights.

Bottom line

Q1 2026 in Antalya is neither boom nor bust — a selective growth phase. In the right neighbourhood for the right profile, prices remain reasonable. Replace "let's buy in Antalya" with neighbourhood + buyer profile + time horizon triangle to win in 2026.

Get a free estimate for a specific property — 60-second numerical range, then a consultant follow-up for a detailed report.

Informational only. Before deciding, take professional appraisal and legal advice. Numerical ranges are indicative listing-average estimates; actual market value will differ.